Tommy John Surgeries Are Down And Nobody Quite Knows Why

By Rob Arthur and Ben Lindbergh Embed Code Passan dismissed that thought process as “reductive.” As he pointed out, “no studies have proven decreased usage in major league pitchers does anything to stem blown-out elbows.” But he granted that there might be better health-related reasons to shorten the leash for minor leaguers. “There is a profound difference between an 18-year-old’s elbow and that of a 25-year-old,” Passan said.Teams seem to be taking that mindset seriously. At a seasonal level, per-player pitch counts have declined by about 10 percent across the board in Double A and Triple A from 2013 to present (after increasing in 2011 and 2012). And prospects who’ve appeared in Baseball America’s top 100 rankings have seen their counts sink even more, by about 15 percent. According to Boddy, “the reduction in workloads is definitely a concentrated effort by teams to impact injury rates.”One team in particular has treated its minor league starters like delicate flowers: the Los Angeles Dodgers under the Andrew Friedman regime. Although player development director Gabe Kapler (who was hired in November 2014) didn’t divulge any details about the team’s plan for young pitchers when we asked him for comment, Dodger starters in Double and Triple A last season threw about five fewer pitches per outing than the league average, and their staffs’ ratio of relief appearances to starts was 20 percent higher than that of the typical team — indicating that the Dodgers’ upper-level affiliates are signaling for new arms early and often. Last week, Yahoo’s Jeff Passan reported that Angels ace Garrett Richards would miss the rest of this season — and at least part of next year — after undergoing Tommy John surgery. The loss of a talented pitcher who was off to a promising start provided the usual alarming reminder that any arm could be days away from a season-ending diagnosis. But we can serve some chicken soup for the baseball fan’s soul:1No, not that kind. Compared with totals through the same date in recent seasons, 2016’s Tommy John toll has been mercifully light. (Knock on the nearest ulnar collateral ligament.)Historically, March and April have been the peak periods for Tommy John-inducing injuries. Not only does ramping up from a winter’s inactivity put pitchers at increased risk, but spring is also when pitchers who felt a twinge at the end of the previous season can no longer pretend rest will restore them. From 2005-14, 44 percent of injuries that led to elbow ligament replacements occurred in March or April. The last two springs were particularly costly, yielding record Tommy John totals and depriving fans of full seasons from such prominent pitchers as Yu Darvish, Zack Wheeler and Brandon McCarthy in 2015, and Matt Moore, Patrick Corbin and Jarrod Parker in 2014.In 2016, however, the parade of early-season elbow injuries has slowed, as evidenced by Hardball Times analyst Jon Roegele’s list of Tommy John patients. The poster boy for pitch-count control is 19-year-old Dodgers starter Julio Urias, the minor leagues’ top left-handed pitching prospect and the youngest pitcher in the Triple-A Pacific Coast League by almost three years. Urias, who’s made 60 minor league starts, has never thrown more than six innings in any single outing as a pro; earlier this month, he no-hit the New Orleans Zephyrs for six innings and was still pulled after 77 pitches. According to game-by-game minor league data from Baseball Prospectus,5Which goes back to 2005. only one pitcher who made the majors in that span — Rafael Dolis, who pitched primarily out of the bullpen and never started a big-league game — made more than 60 minor league starts before his MLB debut without ever recording more than 18 outs in any of them. If Urias makes six more starts without seeing the seventh inning before his Dodgers debut, he’ll pass Dolis on the light-workload leaderboard. If he doesn’t do it, it will probably be because the Dodgers decided to promote him to the big-league bullpen, a move they’re currently contemplating.“Most doctors believe limiting usage the way the Dodgers have with Julio Urias gives his UCL the best chance to survive the stress and strain that comes with his sort of velocity,” Passan said. The catch, of course, is that Urias will eventually have to go deeper in games—unless Los Angeles implements an even more innovative approach to limiting workloads at the major league level, perhaps building on the tandem-starter schemes other teams have tried. If the Dodgers don’t handle Urias’s transition to the majors with care, they could inadvertently expose him to even greater risk. “Pitchers are most at risk later in the games when they are fatigued, so limiting workloads in the minors only to expose them to the traditional 180-220 IP and 100+ pitch count metrics in the big leagues doesn’t make a lot of sense,” Boddy says.With all the brainpower in LA’s rapidly inflating R&D department devoted to injury research and prevention, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them ahead of the arm-injury curve. But in the bigger picture, this year’s Tommy John reversal might prove as illusory as the global warming “pause.” Pitch-count protocols in pro ball probably won’t undo the damage done at earlier ages, and a lasting solution would require more sweeping changes than teams have had time to institute.But even if what we’ve witnessed this spring is just a trough between Tommy John waves, we should still savor the lack of ugly MRI results as long as it lasts. The fewer pitchers paying visits to the dreaded Dr. James Andrews, the better off baseball will be. More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Embed Listen to our sports podcast, Hot Takedown, discuss the drop in Tommy John surgeries. This year’s tally of 22 Tommy John surgeries through May 10 — across all professional levels — is the lowest since 2002.2We filtered out surgeries listed as occurring on Jan. 1 of a given year, since these were procedures for which Roegele didn’t know the exact date. We also ignored the surgeries of players who were drafted in the same year the surgery occurred, as their cases often weren’t added to Roegele’s list until after the draft. And finally, we added one surgery to the 2016 total: that of Richards, who was not yet included in Roegele’s data. And that count includes very few prominent pitchers: Aside from Richards, the highest-profile big leaguer lost to the procedure in 2016 thus far3Excluding Cardinals starter Lance Lynn, who went under the knife in November. is Carter Capps, the Miami Marlins reliever whose borderline-illegal delivery made him an attraction mostly in a circus-freak sense. This year’s big-league Tommy John casualties were projected by Dan Szymborski’s preseason ZiPS algorithm to produce only 7.0 wins above replacement in 2016,4According to data Szymborski provided us. compared with the 13.3 and 23.8 WAR projected for Tommy John victims by May 10 of the 2015 and 2014 seasons, respectively.It would be pretty to think this means that teams have solved the UCL scourge. Unfortunately, though, there’s no real reason to believe they’ve addressed all of the underlying problems that contribute to ligament tears. Pitchers continue to throw harder than they have in the past, and higher pitch speeds are associated with higher risks of injury. And as Passan reported in his recent elbow-injury opus, “The Arm,” the odometers on amateur arms are still creeping up quickly, thanks to year-round competition and the pressure to appear — and throw as hard as possible — in scout-packed showcase events.In other words, this year’s reduced injury toll may come down to timing and plain old good fortune. As Kyle Boddy, founder of the pitching performance and research facility Driveline Baseball, told us: “The easiest and most likely explanation is that Tommy John surgeries were abnormally high last year and are somewhat low this year.”Not that MLB clubs aren’t altering pitcher usage in an attempt to preserve arms. Between 2008 and 2015, the average number of pitches per major league start fell from about 97 to 93. Some of this decrease owes to swelling bullpens and an increased recognition that putting in fresh pitchers is often to teams’ benefit, but it also stems in part from an impulse Passan described to us in an email: “If throwing hurts pitchers, throwing less will hurt pitchers less.” read more

More restaurants to be taxed in TCI

first_img Related Items: Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, TCI, June 16, 2016 – More restaurants will be taxed as a result of the amendment to the Hotel & Restaurant Tax being passed in the House of Assembly.  While finer points were discussed in a committee meeting of Parliament on Wednesday; there was still no threshold revealed for the change to the law.It was explained that the TCI Cabinet will determine what earnings per year will set the bar on which restaurants must now apply an extra 12% tax to services; the monies are passed onto Government.Traditionally, this tax was leveled primarily at restaurants serving visitors to the country, now with the change to the law, smaller restaurant owners could become subject to the tax and it means the cost of meals to residents at so called down home eateries will be more expensive.  The Hotel & Restaurant Tax earned $52.8 million last budget year for TCIG; the second highest revenue earner for Government. Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApplast_img read more

Report Arsenal and Barca talks over Denis Suarez stall

first_imgArsenal and Barcelona have reportedly reached an impasse over negotiations for signing Denis Suarez due to money issuesManager Unai Emery coached Suarez at Sevilla and is understood to be keen on reuniting with him again in London.But Marca reports that Arsenal are unable to meet Barcelona’s asking price of around 10 and 15 million euros, which has created a problem between the clubs.Speaking in a press conference on Thursday, Emery confirmed that the Gunners will only be able to loan players during this month’s transfer window.As a solution, Arsenal have allegedly proposed to take Suarez out on loan this month and pay for the 25-year-old at the end of the season.Jose Mourinho is sold on Lampard succeeding at Chelsea Tomás Pavel Ibarra Meda – September 14, 2019 Jose Mourinho wanted to give his two cents on Frank Lampard’s odds as the new Chelsea FC manager, he thinks he will succeed.There really…Although Barcelona want the cash now with club president Josep Maria Bartomeu joining the negotiations after having promised Suarez a move this month.The Spanish playmaker spent the early stages of his career at Celta Vigo and Manchester City before joining Barcelona in 2013.After a season with the B team, Suarez moved to Emery’s Sevilla on a season-long loan deal and made 47 appearances under the Arsenal coach.Villarreal then signed Suarez permanently in 2015 before Barcelona bought him back a year later.However, with just six appearances under his belt this season, Suarez is keen to leave Camp Nou in search of regular football.last_img read more

Major fire breaks out at garment godown in Howrah

first_imgKolkata: A major fire broke out at a storeroom packed with garments off Foreshore Road in Howrah at around 12.30 am on Sunday. Ten fire tenders were pressed into service to douse the flames. Firefighters took around six long hours to douse the flames.Locals saw smoke billowing out of the huge storeroom situated close to the bank of river Hooghly and informed the state Fire and Emergency Services department.Locals initiated the work to douse the flames. Fire fighters took the minimum time to reach the spot and initiated the work properly to extinguish the fire. An officer of the state Fire and Emergency Services department said the exact reason behind the fire could not be ascertained yet. But they are suspecting electric short circuit led to the incident. Also Read – Heavy rain hits traffic, flightsThe officer further said the storeroom is situated close to the river bank. As a result, a gush of wind from the river side prompted the fire to spread fast and it spread to the entire go down within a short span of time.It also made the task difficult for the firefighters. The fire fighters took necessary steps and restricted the flames from spreading to the adjacent structures. They worked the entire night and doused the flames by 6 am in morning. Locals, who witnessed the incident, said the situation turned worse when the roof over a portion of the godown collapsed. Also Read – Speeding Jaguar crashes into Merc, 2 B’deshi bystanders killedThe fire fighters had managed to enter the storeroom after bringing the situation under control and they searched inside the storeroom to become sure that there was no one inside. Police confirmed that there was no one inside the storeroom as it was a Sunday. The entire godown was gutted but the total extend of damage is yet to be ascertained. The fire department officials are trying to ascertain whether there was proper fire fighting measures in the storeroom.last_img read more

An exhibition of varied colours

first_img‘Beyond Colours’, a mesmerising colourful painting, sculptures and photography exhibition kick-starts amidst the sparkling inauguration ceremony at the Visual Art Gallery of Delhi’s most happening place, India Habitat Centre.According to the organiser and curator, Amrita Prakash, the exhibition will depict the masterpieces of paintings, sculptures and the photographs, clicked by experts in their varied fields. The exhibition is on for the visitors till May 9 from 10 am to 8 pm. Also Read – Add new books to your shelfSpeaking on the inaugration, the guest of honour, Vijendra said, “I am feeling an immense honour to inaugurate this blissful colourful painting exhibition organised under the expert supervision and guidance of curator, Amrita Prakash. I just don’t have enough words to express my gratitude and happiness.” The works displayed by the varied artists are remarkable and spell-bound. On the one hand, where Anita Dinesh’s expert selection of vivid mesmerising colours depict the wonderful ways of worshipping to Lord Shankar; on the other hand, Archana Singh’s perfect blends of eye-soothing colours on her canvas depicts the real harsh conditions in which the ‘adivaasi’ community people are forced to live in. Also Read – Over 2 hours screen time daily will make your kids impulsiveIf one wants to attain the eternal peace, then Bindu Chutani’s paintings are the perfect solution. Using the perfect blends of water colours on the canvas, Bindu’s paintings of flowers look so real and majestic that it soothes a person’s eyes and lets her/himself feel an eternal peace.Highlighting the main purpose of organising such Exhibition, the Curator, Amrita Prakash said, “We have organised this exhibition not only to provide our art lovers an opportunity to experience the power of mesmerising colours, but also to give our artists of all ages and groups of the society a stage or platform to showcase their inevitable works in the public as well. The main attraction of our exhibition is the display of masterpiece sculptures by our very special artist, Vivek Kumar. Besides being a differently-abled, Vivek has created such beautiful sculptures that could lead a person to be spell-bound. In order to ease our art lovers, the entry to the exhibition has been made free of cost!”last_img read more

Will Etsys New Policies Turn it Into eBay

first_img Growing a business sometimes requires thinking outside the box. Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own. 3 min read Free Webinar | Sept. 9: The Entrepreneur’s Playbook for Going Global Register Now » October 1, 2013 “Is Etsy selling out?”That was the question posed by Kimm Alfonso of Etsy’s Seller Education during today’s Town Hall event where the ecommerce site announced major changes to the way its handmade community operates.The question came as a response to Etsy CEO Chad Dickerson announcement of three big policy changes that effect sellers. The new polices allow sellers to:1. Hire staff. Etsy sellers are now allowed to hire help in creating the items that they sell and those employees can live anywhere. Previously sellers could have their shops shut down if they had help from people in other parts of the county or world.2. Use shipping services. Sellers will be able to use outside shipping and fulfillment services. They will no longer be required to personally ship all of their items.3. Use manufacturers. Etsy sellers will be allowed to use outside manufacturers to produce the designs they create. They must submit an application to the Etsy team to make sure the manufacturer meets Etsy’s ethical guidelines. Related: The ‘Etsy Economy’ and Changing the Way We Shop Dickerson said the changes are in part a response to sellers who say that the site’s restrictions have made growing their businesses — or in some cases, even meeting current demand — impossible. When the policy changes go into effect in January 2014, all sellers will be required to disclose their employees and share whether they are using manufacturing services on their listing pages. Etsy will also be redesigning seller pages.Transparency, Dickerson and the panel of Etsy staff reiterated, is at the heart of keeping the community spirit alive on Etsy. Dickerson outlined principals that describe Etsy’s new definition of “handmade”:1. Authorship. Items sold in the handmade marketplace must have been designed by the shop owner (even if a team of people helps create them).2. Responsibility. The shop’s owner has to know how the items are being produced during every step of the processes.3. Transparency. Sellers must disclose who is involved in making the items they sell and where they are located.Etsy reiterated that sellers in its handmade marketplace cannot “re-sell” a product, meaning they can’t take a new, finished product they had no role in creating and sell it to someone else unchanged.The announcement of the changes raised a lot of concerns among sellers at the event and online, with over a thousand questions pouring in following the announcements. The primary concerns were that sellers with outside help would have a competitive advantage over smaller sellers unable to afford such help and that the distinction between the two wouldn’t be prominently displayed for buyers to distinguish the difference.Concerns over the use of overseas manufactures, and the authenticity of the Etsy mission have been ongoing as the site expands.So is Etsy selling out? Some handmade purists may fear that is the direction these changes may take the site, which has over 1 million active sellers, but Dickerson asserts that Etsy is staying true to its quirky maker roots. “I don’t want to be the CEO who turns Etsy into eBay. Etsy is fundamentally a creative community, and eBay is not.”  last_img read more